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A nonprofit, independent media organization dedicated to telling stories of climate solutions and a just future. As the world warms, these Earth systems are changing. Could further warming make them spiral out of control? In an international team of scientists published a commentary in the celebrated science journal Nature , sounding the alarm of a planet in crisis — and calling for transformative change.
The planet has already warmed by roughly 1. So those small changes are getting bigger — increasing the likelihood of triggering those reinforcing loops, known as positive feedbacks. For example, warming increases the frequency of wildfires, which in turn increases the amount of carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere from burning trees, which leads to an increase in global temperature, which means, you guessed it, even more wildfires.
The scientists identified various elements of the Earth system at risk of reaching points of no return. These elements broadly fall into three categories — ice, sea, and land — and range from the melting of the Greenland ice sheet to the death of coral reefs to the raging of more and more wildfires. Rather than a dial slowly turning up, tipping elements could compound, he says, combining to build a greater, planetary-wide tipping point.
When it comes to the climate crisis, the sea is both an unwitting ally and frequent victim. Without them, the world would have already warmed so much, it would be virtually uninhabitable by humans.
