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Metrics details. In Italy, most influenza vaccine doses are administered by general practitioners GPs , whose number has been declining. In parallel, the number of patients per GP and GP workload increased dramatically, which theoretically may impair vaccination counselling. In this ecological study, we aimed to assess whether influenza vaccination coverage in older adults is associated with the density of GPs having high number of patients. The independent variable of interest was the proportion of GPs with more than 1, adult patients, which is an imposed normative ceiling.
This latter variable was considered as a proxy of GP overload. By adopting a panel regression approach, different specifications of fixed- and random-effects models were run to assess the association of interest, when adjusted for several social structural, economic and healthcare-related variables. Over the last two decades, most regions showed a negative association between influenza vaccination coverage rates and the density of GPs with a high number of patients.
In the upcoming years, the number of Italian GPs is projected to decline further. At the same time, the aging Italian population will determine an even greater workload for GPs.
This study demonstrated that increased GP workload may partially explain the spatiotemporal variation in influenza vaccination uptake in the Italian elderly. With the imperative of increasing or at least maintaining influenza vaccination coverage rates, several short- and mid-term initiatives should be implemented in order to optimize GP workload during seasonal immunization campaigns.
